Vigil
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AI-driven sports intelligence

The data speaks.
Vigil makes the call.

Vigil doesn't chase picks. It creates its own. A proprietary prediction engine reads real-time odds, historical results, team and player performance and statistical trends to identify potential betting opportunities.

Every prediction is backed by data, measured against actual results, and evaluated to improve the models behind tomorrow's picks.

Our engine. Our analysis. Our picks.

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Today's Vigil picks

What the engine likes today.

How they have done →

Published before kickoff, with the confidence the engine actually holds, from the markets whose probabilities have been measured against real results. They are Vigil's opinion, not a proven edge — and every one is graded in public, including the losers.

No picks right now.

Nothing on today's board met the engine's requirements, or everything that did has already started. We would rather show you none than invent one.

Published
24
all time
Graded
23
games finished
Win rate
47.8%
n = 23
Units
-3.66
at one unit a pick

Most days the answer is pass.

A market only produces a pick once a model has beaten the no-vig closing line by more than chance explains, and is no worse calibrated than that line. Everything else is labelled not yet proven and gives you the analysis instead.

Right now, nothing is proven. The product says so on its own front page, which is the whole reason to trust it the day something is.

  • Never takes a bet

    No wallet, no deposit, no payout. You bet at your own book.

  • Never invents a number

    Every edge and verdict is read from the engine, not recomputed.

  • Never hides a pass

    You see what was declined, and why.

  • Never a rate without its n

    A win rate with no sample size is not evidence.

How it works

  1. 01

    We read the whole market

    Every tracked book, every couple of minutes near kickoff, so the price on the screen is the price that is there.

  2. 02

    We strip out the vig

    A fair probability from the market, and the model's probability beside it. The gap is the edge.

  3. 03

    We say pick or pass

    Most of the time it is pass, and we say so as plainly as we say pick.

Plans

Free

Try it.

Free

  • Odds board for today: moneyline, spread and total
  • One Vigil Read a day, on a pick or a pass
  • Bet tracker, up to 25 bets
  • Parlay grader, three a day

Create a free account →

Most popular

Vigil Daily

For the daily answer.

$19 /month

or $179/year — about two months free

  • Every pick from a proven market, with a Vigil Read
  • The near misses too, and why each was declined
  • Unlimited parlay grader
  • Bet tracker with win/loss and ROI
  • Alerts when a pick posts

Not on sale yet — no market is proven, so there is nothing here worth charging for.

Vigil Pro

For the whole board.

$59 /month

or $549/year — about two months free

  • Everything in Daily
  • The full value board: every pick and every pass, with edge and EV
  • Line shopping across every tracked book
  • Player props board
  • Closing line value on your own bets
  • Arbitrage and middle finders
  • Model Lab: which markets are proven, and the gate each was measured against
  • Bankroll and Kelly sizing, with loss limits that do not negotiate

Not on sale yet — no market is proven, so there is nothing here worth charging for.

7-day free trial on the paid tiers when they open. Downgrades and cancellations take effect at period end, and cancelling is one click.

Questions

Do you place bets for me?

No. Vigil never takes a bet, holds money, or pays anything out. You place bets at your own sportsbook; this tells you which are worth placing and, far more often, which are not.

Why are there no picks today?

Because no market has earned one. A model has to beat the no-vig closing line by more than chance explains before it may produce a pick. Until it does you get the analysis, labelled plainly as not yet proven.

Is this guaranteed to make money?

No, and anyone telling you otherwise is selling something worse than this. Betting loses money for most people who do it. A positive edge is a statement about long-run expectation at a measured price, not about tonight.

What is closing line value?

Whether the price you got beat the price the market finished at. Over enough bets it is the most honest evidence a method works, because it does not depend on whether any one bet happened to win.

Can I export the odds?

You can export your own bets at any time. Odds are licensed for display inside the product and cannot be redistributed, so there is no odds export, no feed and no public API.

How do I cancel?

One click in Account. It takes effect at the end of the period you have paid for and you keep access until then. There is nothing in the way of it.